πŸ’Έ Smart Money Weekly: Shutdown? What Shutdown! πŸš€

Issue 09 | Week of September 29 - October 5, 2025 | Est. Reading Time: 6 minutes

Good Morning Money Movers! β˜•

What a bizarre week this was! The government shut down on October 1st for the first time in nearly seven years, we couldn't get the monthly jobs report because of it, and yet... the stock market just kept partying like nothing happened! Meanwhile, Bitcoin decided to crash its own celebration by hitting an all time high of $125,700, and the only jobs data we got showed companies actually lost 32,000 positions in September.

It's one of those weeks that perfectly captures how disconnected markets can be from Washington drama. While politicians argued and government workers got furloughed, investors just shrugged and kept buying. Sometimes the best investment strategy really is ignoring the noise and focusing on what actually moves your money! πŸ’°πŸŽ―

πŸ“ˆ Market Snapshots (Week Ending October 4, 2025)

β€’Bitcoin: $125,700 ⬆️ (+15.3% for week) β‚ΏπŸš€ (NEW RECORD!) πŸ†οΈ 

β€’S&P 500: 6,817 ⬆️ (+1.1% for week) πŸ“ŠπŸš€

β€’Dow Jones: 47,758 ⬆️ (+1.1% for week) πŸ“ˆ

β€’Nasdaq: 23,184 ⬆️ (+1.3% for week) πŸ’»πŸš€

β€’Gold: $3,742/oz ⬆️ (+1.2% for week) πŸ₯‡

β€’10 Year Treasury: 3.88% ~ (Down from 3.92%) πŸ“‰

β€’30 Year Mortgage: 6.28% ~ (Down slightly from 6.31%) 🏠

Why Government Chaos Might Actually Help Your Wallet πŸ’°

Here's something counterintuitive: government shutdowns often create unexpected opportunities for regular people. While federal workers face uncertainty, private sector workers might benefit from reduced competition for loans, delayed tax audits, and even temporary reductions in government regulations. Plus, the economic uncertainty often pushes the Fed toward more aggressive rate cuts.

Why it matters: Smart money knows how to find opportunity in chaos. If you've been waiting to refinance, apply for a loan, or make a major purchase, government dysfunction might actually work in your favor as lenders compete for fewer qualified borrowers.

πŸ€‘ Fun Break! Want to see how government spending affects your state? Check out this breakdown of which states are most dependent on federal dollars – you might be surprised by how much your local economy relies on Uncle Sam's wallet! During shutdowns, some states feel the pain more than others. πŸ—ΊοΈ

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πŸš€ Top Money Stories

1. Government Shuts Down, Markets Shrug and Hit Records πŸ›οΈπŸ“ˆ

The federal government officially shut down at midnight on October 1st after Congress failed to reach a funding agreement – the first shutdown in nearly seven years. Essential services continue, but hundreds of thousands of federal workers are furloughed, and we're missing key economic data like the monthly jobs report. Yet somehow, the stock market treated this like just another Tuesday, with all major indices posting gains and hitting fresh record highs by week's end.

Why it matters: This perfectly illustrates why trying to time the market based on political drama is usually a losing strategy! History shows that government shutdowns typically have minimal lasting impact on markets, and this week proved it again. If you panicked and sold stocks because of shutdown fears, you missed out on a 1%+ gain across major indices. The lesson? Political noise and market performance often move in completely different directions. Your portfolio cares more about corporate earnings and economic fundamentals than Washington theatrics. 🎭

2. Bitcoin Explodes to All Time High of $125,700 β‚ΏπŸš€

While everyone was focused on the government shutdown, Bitcoin $BTC.X ( β–² 2.21% ) quietly went absolutely bonkers, surging to a new all time high of $125,700, smashing its previous record from August. The cryptocurrency gained over 15% for the week, with some analysts now predicting it could hit $200,000 by year end! The rally seems driven by continued institutional adoption and the ongoing debasement of traditional currencies.

Why it matters: If you own Bitcoin or crypto heavy funds, congratulations, we just had an incredible week! This surge shows that digital assets are increasingly viewed as a hedge against government dysfunction and currency debasement. However, remember that Bitcoin's volatility works both ways. What goes up 15% in a week can just as easily come down 15% the next week. If you're thinking about jumping in now, make sure it's money you can afford to lose, and consider dollar cost averaging and holding for the long term rather than going all in at these sky high levels. πŸŽ’β‚Ώ

3. Jobs Market Shows Cracks: 32,000 Positions Lost πŸ“‰πŸ’Ό

The only employment data we got this week came from ADP, and it was pretty shocking: private companies actually lost 32,000 jobs in September, when economists expected a gain of 45,000. This marks a significant deterioration from August's revised gain of just 11,000 jobs. Manufacturing and professional services led the decline, while wages still grew 4.5% annually, suggesting companies are cutting workers but paying remaining employees more.

Why it matters: This is a big red flag that the job market is cooling faster than expected! If you're employed, this reinforces the importance of building up that emergency fund and keeping your skills sharp. If you're job hunting, expect the process to take longer and be more competitive. The silver lining? This weak jobs data makes it more likely the Fed will cut rates again soon, which should help mortgage rates and borrowing costs. Sometimes bad news for the job market is good news for borrowers. πŸ”„

Deep Learning Garrison GIF by South Park

Gif by southpark on Giphy

4. AI Stocks Keep Defying Gravity πŸ€–πŸ“ˆ

Despite all the shutdown drama, artificial intelligence stocks continued their relentless march higher. A basket of 38 AI stocks tracked by Morningstar gained 15.7% in the third quarter, and many hit new highs this week. Companies like Broadcom $AVGO ( β–Ό 0.03% ) and Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM ( β–² 0.89% ) are being called "genius trillion dollar companies" by analysts, while the entire AI sector seems immune to broader economic concerns.

Why it matters: If you own tech heavy index funds or individual AI stocks, you're probably feeling pretty good right now! This sector continues to be the main driver of market gains, but it's also getting expensive. Some analysts worry we're in an AI bubble similar to the dot com boom of the late 1990s. The key is not to get too concentrated in one sector, no matter how hot it is. Diversification might feel boring when AI stocks are soaring, but it's your best protection if this trend ever reverses. πŸ›‘οΈ

5. Housing Market Sends Mixed Signals πŸ πŸ“Š

The housing market is giving us whiplash with conflicting signals. National home prices dropped 1.2% in September, and seven major markets are seeing significant price declines. But here's the twist: million dollar homes are actually the fastest moving part of the market, with wealthy buyers snapping up luxury properties thanks to stock market gains. Meanwhile, the government shutdown is adding uncertainty to an already confused market.

Why it matters: The housing market is basically splitting in two! If you're shopping for a regular home, you might finally have some negotiating power as prices soften. But if you're looking at luxury properties, you're competing with cash rich buyers who've made money in the stock market. The shutdown could actually help regular buyers by delaying some government backed loan processes, giving you less competition. Sometimes chaos creates opportunity. Just make sure you're financially ready to act when you find the right property. 🎯

πŸš‚ The Inspiration Station

The Power of Ignoring the Noise πŸ”‡

This week was a masterclass in why successful investors learn to tune out political drama. While news channels screamed about government shutdowns and economic chaos, the stock market quietly went about its business of creating wealth. The investors who stayed calm and stuck to their plans made money, while those who panicked missed out.

Your move: Building wealth isn't about predicting the next crisis or timing the perfect moment to buy. It's about staying consistent through all the noise. Whether it's government shutdowns, election drama, or global uncertainty, there's always something to worry about. The secret is having a plan and sticking to it, regardless of what's trending on social media. ✨

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πŸ’Έ The Reality Check Corner

Don't Let Bitcoin FOMO Cloud Your Judgment πŸ€”

Yes, Bitcoin hit $125,700 this week, and yes, that's incredible if you owned it. But before you mortgage your house to buy crypto, remember that Bitcoin has also crashed 80% multiple times in its history. The people making real money in crypto are the ones who bought consistently over time, not the ones who chased the latest high. I am a estimate to this as I have been in that market for over 8 years now.

Your reality check: FOMO (fear of missing out) is one of the biggest wealth destroyers in investing. Every asset class has its moment in the sun, but chasing performance usually leads to buying high and selling low. If you want crypto exposure, start small and build gradually. The goal is to participate in the upside without risking your financial future on a single bet. πŸ’°οΈ 

πŸ”₯ In Case You Missed It…

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That's a wrap for this wild week! Remember, the best investors know that government drama and market performance often have very little to do with each other. While politicians argue, companies keep making money and markets keep creating wealth. Stay focused on what you can control – your savings rate, your investment plan, and your financial goals. See you next week!

- Rashida

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