Smart Money Weekly: Issue 08

Your Quick Guide to Staying Ahead in Money, Markets, and Mindset

Good Morning Money Movers! β˜•

Well, that was a week! After last week's Fed cut celebration and record market highs, this week brought us back down to earth with a reality check. Markets posted their first losing week in four, but before you panic, there were some genuinely surprising pieces of good news mixed in. Trump dropped a massive bombshell on the tech world with a $100,000 H1B visa fee (yes, you read that right!), our economy turned out to be much stronger than anyone thought, and the housing market is finally showing some real cracks that could benefit buyers.

It's one of those weeks that reminds us why staying informed matters, because while headlines focused on market pullbacks, the underlying economic story was actually pretty encouraging. So grab your coffee and let's dive into a week that proved sometimes the best news comes disguised as uncertainty! πŸ’°πŸ“ˆ

πŸ“ˆ Market Snapshots (Week Ending September 26, 2025)

β€’S&P 500: 6,644 (-0.3% for week) πŸ“ŠπŸ“‰

β€’Dow Jones: 46,247 (-0.1% for week) πŸ“ˆ

β€’Nasdaq: 22,484 (-0.7% for week) πŸ’»πŸ“‰

β€’Bitcoin: $109,084 (-5.0% for week) β‚ΏπŸ“‰

β€’Gold: $3,698/oz (-0.6% for week) πŸ₯‡

β€’10 Year Treasury: 3.92% (Up from 3.89%) πŸ“ˆ

β€’30 Year Mortgage: 6.31% (Up slightly from 6.26%) 🏠

πŸ›οΈ The Unstoppable American Consumer

Why Americans Keep Spending Despite Everything πŸ’ͺ

Here's something that's baffling economists: despite inflation, high interest rates, political uncertainty, and constant recession warnings, Americans just won't stop spending! Consumer spending jumped 0.6% in August, and people are still booking vacations, buying cars, and upgrading their homes. It's like the American consumer looked at all the economic doom and gloom and said "not today!"

Why it matters: This spending spree is literally keeping the economy afloat. Consumer spending drives 70% of economic growth, so when Americans keep shopping, companies keep hiring and stocks keep rising. Your job security and portfolio performance depend on this trend continuing.

πŸ€‘ Fun Break! Americans are so committed to spending that even with the average person carrying $6,500 in credit card debt, we're still swiping! Want to see how your state stacks up? Check out this eye-opening map showing which states are most behind on debt – the patterns might surprise you! It's like we've collectively decided that YOLO economics is the way to go, regardless of what our credit reports say! πŸ›’πŸ’³

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πŸš€ Top Money Stories

Trump Drops $100,000 H1B Visa Bombshell on Tech World πŸ’£πŸ’»

In a move that sent shockwaves through Silicon Valley, President Trump announced that new H1B visa applications will now cost $100,000 which is a staggering increase from the previous $2,000 fee. The new fee went into effect on September 21st and applies to all new H1B petitions. Tech companies are scrambling to understand the implications, with some calling it a "chaos inducing" policy that could fundamentally reshape how they hire skilled workers.

Why it matters: This is huge for anyone working in or investing in tech! If you're in the tech industry, this could mean less competition for jobs and potentially higher wages for US workers. If you own tech stocks, companies might face higher labor costs and hiring challenges, which could impact profits. The policy is designed to prioritize higher skilled, better paid workers, but it's creating massive uncertainty in an industry that relies heavily on international talent. Your tech heavy portfolio might see some volatility as companies figure out how to adapt. 🎯

Markets Get a Reality Check After Fed Euphoria πŸ“‰βš–οΈ

After four straight weeks of gains and multiple record highs, markets finally took a breather this week. The S&P 500 dropped 0.3%, the Nasdaq fell 0.7%, and even the Dow dipped 0.1%. It was the first losing week since the Fed cut rates, as investors seemed to realize that maybe they got a little too excited about what one rate cut could accomplish.

Why it matters: Don't panic, this is actually healthy! Markets needed to cool off after that massive rally. Think of it like your car engine cooling down after a long road trip. The fundamentals haven't changed: rates are still coming down, the economy is still growing, and corporate earnings are still solid. If anything, this pullback might give you a better entry point if you've been waiting to invest. Sometimes the best buying opportunities come when everyone else is taking a step back. βš–οΈ

Economy Much Stronger Than Anyone Thought πŸš€πŸ“Š

Surprise! The government just revised second quarter GDP growth up to 3.8% … much higher than the previous estimate of 3.0%. Consumer spending was the big driver, growing at a 2.5% pace as Americans continued to open their wallets despite all the economic uncertainty. This makes the US economy one of the fastest growing among developed nations.

Why it matters: This is fantastic news for your money! A 3.8% growth rate is genuinely impressive and shows the economy has more momentum than anyone realized. Strong GDP growth typically means more jobs, higher wages, and better corporate profits – all good things for your portfolio and paycheck. It also gives the Fed more confidence that they can cut rates without triggering a recession. Sometimes the best economic news comes when you least expect it! πŸŽ‰

Americans Are Drowning in Credit Card Debt πŸ’³βš οΈ

Here's a sobering reality check: the average American now carries $6,500 in credit card debt, up $96 from last year according to new VantageScore data. With credit card rates still hovering around 25% despite the Fed's rate cut, Americans are paying more in interest than ever before. Total credit card debt nationwide is approaching $1.31 trillion, and with the holidays approaching, financial experts are warning people to tackle their debt now before it gets worse.

Why it matters: If you're carrying credit card debt, you're literally paying for last year's purchases with this year's money – and next year's too! At 25% interest, that $6,500 average balance costs you $1,625 per year just in interest. While mortgage rates are falling, credit card companies haven't passed through the Fed's rate cuts, meaning your plastic is still expensive. The good news? Now is actually the perfect time to tackle this debt while you still have some economic tailwinds. Every dollar you pay down is like earning a guaranteed 25% return – try finding that in the stock market! 🎯

GIF by The Financial Gym

Gif by thefinancialgym on Giphy

Housing Market Finally Shows Real Cracks πŸ πŸ“‰

For the first time in a while, we're seeing genuine signs that the housing market is softening. Home values are starting to erode in many markets, existing home sales remain weak, and inventory is up nearly 16% year over year. The median list price has been flat or falling for seven straight weeks, giving buyers their first real relief in years.

Why it matters: If you've been priced out of the housing market, this could be your moment! Combined with mortgage rates that are still near three year lows, the housing market is finally shifting toward buyers. Sellers are getting more realistic about pricing, and you have more options to choose from. Don't expect a crash, but do expect a more balanced market where you actually have some negotiating power. The key is being ready to move when you find the right opportunity. 🏑

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πŸš‚ The Inspiration Station

The Power of Staying Calm When Others Panic πŸ§˜β€β™€οΈ

This week was a perfect example of why emotional investing is dangerous. When markets dropped for the first time in a month, social media filled up with "crash" predictions and panic selling advice. But here's what actually happened: the economy grew faster than expected, inflation stayed under control, and the Fed remains on track to cut rates. The "bad" news was actually pretty good news in disguise.

Your move: The best investors know that weekly market movements are just noise. While others were panicking about a 0.3% drop, smart money was probably thinking "finally, a chance to buy at slightly better prices." Building wealth isn't about timing every market wiggle…it's about staying focused on the big picture and not letting short term volatility derail your long term plans. ✨

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πŸ’Έ The Reality Check Corner

Don't Let One Good GDP Number Make You Overconfident πŸ€”

Yes, 3.8% GDP growth is fantastic, and yes, the economy is stronger than expected. But let's keep our feet on the ground. We still have elevated jobless claims, a cooling labor market, and plenty of global uncertainty. One strong quarter doesn't mean we're out of the woods entirely.

Your reality check: Celebrate the good news, but don't let it change your fundamental financial strategy. Keep building that emergency fund, stay diversified in your investments, and don't take on more debt just because the economy is growing. Good economic news is the perfect time to strengthen your financial foundation, not get overconfident and take unnecessary risks. The best time to prepare for uncertainty is when things are going well. πŸ’ͺ

πŸ”₯ In Case You Missed It…

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That's a wrap for this reality check week! Remember, the best investors know that volatility is the price you pay for long term returns. This week reminded us that markets don't go straight up forever, but it also showed us that the underlying economy remains surprisingly resilient. See you next week!

- Rashida H.

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